OECD Report: Brexit Reversal Would Be ‘Positive’ for UK Economy

Simon Veazey
By Simon Veazey
October 17, 2017UKshare
OECD Report: Brexit Reversal Would Be ‘Positive’ for UK Economy
British Finance Minister Philip Hammond shakes hands with the Secretary-General of the OECD Angel Gurría, during an OECD press conference at the Treasury in London, England, on Oct. 17, 2017. (Matt Dunham - WPA Pool/Getty Images)

The UK got a controversial financial report card on Monday from an organisation that represents many of the world’s richest countries. Between praise of the country’s employment rate, concerns about productivity, and analysis of the impact of devalued currency, it was dominated by two words: ‘Brexit’ and ‘uncertainty.’

Buried in the biennial report was a note which suggested that were the British government to reverse Brexit, “the positive impact on growth would be significant,” prompting the Treasury to reiterate that a 2nd referendum was not on the cards.

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) announced the findings of its annual survey on the British economy on Tuesday, Oct. 16.

“The United Kingdom is facing challenging times, with Brexit creating serious economic uncertainties that could stifle growth for years to come,” OECD  Secretary-General Ángel Gurría‌ said.

“Maintaining the closest economic relationship with the European Union will be absolutely key, for the trade of goods and services as well as the movement of labour,” he said, according to the OECD website.

Chancellor Philip Hammond, who attended the publication of the report in London, said that the report highlighted the need for a post-Brexit transitional arrangement with the European Union (EU).

British Finance Minister Philip Hammond speaks at an OECD press conference at the Treasury on Oct. 17, 2017 in London, England. The OECD presented the latest Economic Survey of the UK in the press conference Tuesday. (Photo by Matt Dunham – WPA Pool/Getty Images)

“There is great potential to exploit the underlying strengths of the UK economy, and boosting productivity is the way to turn those strengths into real wage growth and living standards”, he said after the event, according to the Financial Times.

The report notes that the UK’s labour market has performed “remarkably well” despite a slowdown, with unemployment lower and the employment rate the highest ever since the financial crash.

“Real wages, however, are on a downward trend,” said Gurria, noting that British productivity also lags behind other countries in Europe.

The report also says that a “disorderly exit” from the EU single market and customs union in 2019 “would hurt trading relationships and reduce long-term growth.”

With talk of reversing Brexit already in the air, fanning hopes and fears in critics and supporters of Brexit, the OECD alluded to the positive benefits of a second referendum, and the reversal of Brexit.

“In case Brexit gets reversed by political decision (change of majority, new referendum, etc.), the positive impact on growth would be significant.”

The Treasury said in a statement: “We are leaving the EU and there will not be a second referendum,” reported the Guardian.

“[By] delivering a time-limited transition period, avoiding a disruptive cliff-edge exit from the EU, we can provide greater certainty for businesses up and down the UK, and across the European Union,” the Chancellor said at the event.

The report said that a breakdown in EU-UK negotiations would trigger an adverse reaction from financial markets, “pushing the exchange rate to new lows and leading to sovereign rating downgrades.”

“Business investment would seize up, and heightened price pressures would choke off private consumption.”

The report recommends the UK adopt simple criteria to deal with EU citizens living and/or working in the UK.

The OECD is a group of 35 of the wealthiest countries in the world, founded in 1961. However, its roots go back to the Organisation for European Economic Cooperation which was set up in 1948 to operate the U.S.-led Marshall plan to patch war-ravaged Europe back together.

The OECD includes non-European countries and was founded with the aim of fostering economic interdependence among members.

From The Epoch Times

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