Tropical Storm Barry unloaded powerful winds and heavy rains as it edged closer to landfall Saturday along the Louisiana coast.
Barry is set to hit land Saturday morning or early afternoon as a Category 1 hurricane, the National Hurricane Center said. Its slow trek means a longer period of heavy rainfall and flooding that will last through next week, forecasters said.
Tropical Storm #Barry is expected to strengthen to a hurricane before reaching the Louisiana coastline late this morning or early this afternoon. For more details, see https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb pic.twitter.com/DN87zaZDVe
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) July 13, 2019
Rain bands are moving onshore in Louisiana as Barry inches northwest at 5 mph, also bringing 70-mph sustained winds, a dangerous storm surge and possible tornadoes.
Though heavy, sustained rain still threatens the New Orleans area, fears there have relaxed as a predicted storm surge on the unusually high Mississippi River happened late Friday at a lower level than predicted, according to the National Weather Service in New Orleans.
Forecast crest at the Mississippi River is now 17.1 feet. The storm surge crest has occurred and the river is now dropping. The river rose approx. 1 foot due to storm surge. The next crest will occur on Monday and will be due to heavy rains expected this weekend. #lawx #mswx pic.twitter.com/iOp3Mo2zRN
— NWS New Orleans (@NWSNewOrleans) July 13, 2019
A hurricane warning is in effect along part of the Louisiana coast, while inland areas, including the lower Mississippi Valley, are under tropical storm warnings. Tropical-storm-force winds will extend up to 175 miles outward from the storm’s center, which at 8 a.m. ET Saturday was still 50 miles west-southwest of Morgan City, Louisiana, forecasters said.
More than 62,000 customers across Louisiana were without power on Saturday morning, utility providers said.
Storm Triggers Latent Katrina Fears
With Hurricane Katrina on their minds, some New Orleans residents fled the region, while others chose to buckle up and ride out the storm.
Tanya Gulliver-Garcia, who lives in the city’s Broadmoor neighborhood, flew out ahead of Barry. Neighbors she left behind have vivid memories of the 2005 destruction, she said.
“This storm is stressing them out,” Gulliver-Garcia told CNN. “Trauma stays in your body, and Katrina left a lot of trauma behind.”
Many New Orleanians, though, opted to stay. Herman Grady evacuated during Katrina, but this time, he’s staying back.
“I’m tired of running,” the 72-year-old told CNN affiliate WDSU.
Barry’s center is expected to slowly move onshore near Morgan City later Saturday: https://t.co/Tqjo5thh0A pic.twitter.com/tv9gneOAsY
— wdsu (@wdsu) July 13, 2019
Many residents aren’t eager to endure the expense and effort of leaving, compared with what could be a few uncomfortable hours or days without power or other amenities. Many also want to stay home so they can bail water if it rises, then dry out floors and drywall as soon as it recedes.
Real Danger Is the Rain, Governor Says
Top of mind as Barry nears land is the heavy rains and flooding it’s expected to usher in.
“We are talking about 18-24 hours after landfall, the rain will still be coming down and will be the issue,” CNN Meteorologist Michael Guy said.
Gov. John Bel Edwards said some areas could see up to 25 inches of falling water.
“Nobody should take this storm lightly just because it’s supposed to be a Category 1 (hurricane) when it makes landfall,” the governor said. “The real danger in this storm was never about the wind anyway, it’s always been about the rain, and that remains a very significant threat.”
‘LIFE-THREATENING’ STORM: Tropical Storm Barry is bearing down on the Louisiana coast, expected to dump up two feet of rain, with a life-threatening storm surge possible and flood fear. @RobMarciano is in the storm zone. https://t.co/TfSoRHZods pic.twitter.com/W9Ap3pp1xX
— World News Tonight (@ABCWorldNews) July 12, 2019
When the ground is as saturated as it already is in the region, the governor said, the risks are endless. “It doesn’t take much wind to cause a tree to fall or a utility pole to fall,” he said. “These hazards are going to present themselves all over the state.”
In Morgan City, where the hurricane is expected to make landfall, officials and city workers are worried about the lingering water. The fishing and oil hub is about 70 miles southwest of New Orleans and south of Lafayette.
With up to 30 inches of rain projected this weekend for the region, Mayor Frank “Boo” Grizzaffi worried it may be more than the city’s drainage system can take.
“We can handle the first 5 inches, but after that, we can pump 1 inch per hour. If we get rain greater than that, it will exceed our capacity to pump it out,” he told CNN.
Mississippi River Threat Dissolves
Officials earlier this week had warily eyed the Mississippi River as it far exceeded its usual midsummer levels owing to this year’s historic storms throughout the valley. Barry had been expected to produce a storm surge of 2 to 3 feet at the river’s mouth and push the waterway’s height to about 19 feet in New Orleans, frighteningly close to the top of levees that protect up to 20 feet.
Those fears have calmed since late Friday, when the surge crest happened and pushed the river only to 16.9 feet, the weather service’s New Orleans office tweeted. The risk of overtopping was minimal, the New Orleans Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness said.
Forecast crest at the Mississippi River is now 17.1 feet. The storm surge crest has occurred and the river is now dropping. The river rose approx. 1 foot due to storm surge. The next crest will occur on Monday and will be due to heavy rains expected this weekend. #lawx #mswx pic.twitter.com/iOp3Mo2zRN
— NWS New Orleans (@NWSNewOrleans) July 13, 2019
Barry’s heavy rain is predicted to push the river level up again on Monday, but only to 17.1 feet, forecasters said.
National Guard Members Activated
Following President Donald Trump’s state of emergency declaration, Louisiana officials activated 3,000 National Guard members in anticipation of Barry, the governor said. And despite the state’s long-honed expertise in facing this sort of threat and its enhanced post-Katrina storm defenses, residents were urged to be prepared.
Across the coast, many cities and parishes have issued mandatory evacuation orders, especially in low-lying areas and those outside public levee protection, the governor said. For the first time since their construction, all major floodgates on the Mississippi River are closed, he added.
The state’s forces have mobilized and anticipate search and rescue missions to begin once Barry hits, he said.
Canceled Flights, Cruises and a Concert
More than 200 flights were canceled as of Saturday morning in and out of Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport, according to flight-tracking website FlightAware.
GHOST TOWN ????????@flyneworleans looks deserted as Barry inches closer to Louisiana: https://t.co/KqE8wUKRwA pic.twitter.com/P0fJaMYUc2
— wdsu (@wdsu) July 13, 2019
Three Carnival Cruise Line ship departures scheduled for Saturday, Sunday and Monday are in limbo following the closure of ports in New Orleans and Mobile, Alabama. The cruise line said it will update passengers Saturday morning.
Meantime, the Rolling Stones postponed a Saturday concert to Monday.
UPDATE FROM NEW ORLEANS: Due to the weather we’re moving Sunday’s Superdome show to Monday. Hang onto your tickets, they will be honored on July 15. We’re here with you — we’ll get through this together. #stonesnofilter #neworleans
— The Rolling Stones (@RollingStones) July 12, 2019
“Hang on to your tickets,” the legendary band tweeted. “We’re here with you—we’ll get through this together.”