US Weekly Jobless Claims Drop to Fresh 13-month Low

Reuters
By Reuters
May 6, 2021US News
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US Weekly Jobless Claims Drop to Fresh 13-month Low
Construction workers wait in line to do a temperature test to return to the job site after lunch, amid the COVID-19 outbreak, in the Manhattan borough of New York City, N.Y., on Nov. 10, 2020. (Carlo Allegri/Reuters)

WASHINGTON—Fewer Americans filed new claims for unemployment benefits last week as the labor market recovery gains steam amid an economic boom, which is being fueled by a rapidly improving public health situation and massive government financial assistance.

Labor market strength was reinforced by other data on Thursday showing U.S.-based employers in April announced the fewest job cuts in nearly 21 years. The reports added to other upbeat employment data in suggesting that the economy enjoyed another blockbuster month of job growth in April.

But the labor market is not out of the woods yet, with about 16.2 million people still on unemployment benefits.

“Claims are signaling a new stage in the labor market recovery,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. “Although unemployment remains elevated, the labor market is rapidly recovering.”

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits tumbled 92,000 to a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, the Labor Department said. That was the lowest since mid-March 2020, when mandatory shutdowns of nonessential businesses were enforced to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 540,000 applications for the latest week.

For a graphic on New claims for state jobless benefits hit crisis low:

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/nmopagkkypa/Pasted%20image%201620306329213.png

The government has provided nearly $6 trillion in pandemic relief over the past year. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.

Reports on Wednesday showed private employers hired the most workers in seven months on April, while a measure of services industry jobs rose to more than a 2-1/2-year high. Consumers’ perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months.

U.S. stocks opened flat. The dollar fell against a basket of currencies. U.S. Treasury prices were mixed.

For a graphic on Total new claims for unemployment benefits:

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/rlgvdykkwpo/Pasted%20image%201620305555755.png

Layoffs Easing

In a separate report on Thursday, global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas said layoffs announced by U.S.-based employers fell 25 percent in April to 22,913, the fewest since June 2000. Planned layoffs so far this year are down 84 percent from the same period in 2020.

According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.4 million below its peak in February 2020.

Estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. The Labor Department will publish April’s employment report on Friday.

Jobless claims have dropped from a record 6.149 million in early April 2020. They are, however, well above the 200,000-250,000 range that is viewed as consistent with a healthy labor market.

Part of the elevation has been blamed on fraud as well as the enhancement of the unemployment benefits programs, including a weekly $300 subsidy, which could be encouraging some people to attempt to file a claim for assistance, though not every application is approved.

Including a government-funded program for the self-employed, gig workers and others who do not qualify for the regular state programs, 605,884 people filed for claims last week. These benefits and the weekly subsidy end in early September. They have been blamed for worker shortages across many industries.

“The government is paying more to be on the unemployment rolls than the private sector is paying to work at their businesses,” said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economics in Holland, Pennsylvania. “The choice is clear, at least until the enhanced benefits run out.”

For a graphic on Pandemic jobless relief rolls remain high:

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/ygdvzoqygpw/Pasted%20image%201620305124109.png

The claims report also showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid increased 37,000 to 3.690 million in the week ended April 24. About 5.0 million people were on government-funded extended benefits during the week ended April 17. Another 453,653 were on a state program for those who have exhausted their initial six months of aid.

There were 16.2 million people receiving benefits under all programs in mid-April.

By Lucia Mutikani

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