China’s exports to the United States continued to slide in September, but the downturn was offset by strong growth in shipments to other markets, such as Africa and the European Union, according to official Chinese customs data.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected exports to grow by 6 percent in September.
Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit in Beijing, said that although the implementation of new 100 percent U.S. tariffs will place additional pressure on China’s export sector, he anticipates the impact to be less severe than that of previous rounds of tariffs.
Exports Surge in Global South Markets
Chinese shipments to the United States have recorded a double-digit decline for the sixth consecutive month, falling by 27 percent year over year in September, but the pace was slower than the 33 percent drop seen in August, according to The Epoch Times’ calculation based on the latest Chinese customs data.In contrast, Chinese exports to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, China’s biggest trading partner, grew by 15.6 percent year on year in September, although this was slower than August’s 22.5 percent gain.
Shipments to the European Union, China’s second-largest trading partner, jumped by 14.2 percent in September from a year earlier, accelerating from a 10.4 percent growth seen in August.
Record Trade Surplus
Beating economists’ forecasts, imports into China rose by 7.4 percent from a year earlier, significantly higher than August’s 1.1 percent increase.Despite the increase in imports, China’s exports still exceed its imports by nearly $90.5 billion. The resulting trade surplus is 11 percent higher than the $81.7 billion recorded in 2024.
In the first nine months of this year, the trade surplus stood at $875 billion, nearly a 27 percent increase from the same period last year, putting the country on track to hit a new record high for the entire year.
The trade surplus with the United States contracted to $208.6 billion in the first nine months. This was down by 19 percent from the same period in 2024, according to Chinese customs data.
The veracity of China’s economic statistics has long been questioned, as the ruling Chinese Communist Party has a record of concealing and manipulating data deemed harmful to its image.
